990WBOB
  • WBOB Radio
  • Crush Cancer
  • Past Casts
  • Weather
  • Contact
  • About
    • WBOB Press Releases
    • Join Our Team!
    • CHARITY GALA

Which Swing States Will Joe Biden Win?

11/2/2020

Comments

 
Picture
Mark Colley

It all comes down to this. There is only 1 day left until election day 2020, and the decision facing the United States is intimidating.

If Donald Trump is re-elected to another term, it will mean the cementing of his legacy and a shift in the idea of what it means to be president. If Joe Biden wins, it will be a rejection of Trumped up politics and an acceptance that the last four years were a mistake.

In short, the decision on November 3 will either reinforce or roll back the political revolution of the Trump presidency.

With so little time left, here’s my picks for who will win the election — and what states they’ll take


Joe Biden will be elected president.

Four years ago, when Americans were faced with a brutal choice and the Democrats ran a candidate with impressively low favorability numbers, it was electoral college math that determined the election.

Four years later, we find ourselves in a very different election. Trump is a known quantity. The hopes that he would govern differently than he campaigned were wrong. And Biden, for all his problems, has proved to be a far better candidate than Clinton was.

The numbers support this. While polls have tightened in recent weeks — Trump’s second debate performance certainly helped him — Biden still maintains a commanding national lead of 8.6 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight. He also holds a convincing lead in many swing states.

And yes, we should trust the polls. Even if they are wrong by as much as they were in 2016, Joe Biden will still be elected president.

All signs point to a Biden victory.

The Swing States

The large lead from Biden has added a number of states to the “swing state” category. These states could go either way — and in turn, they will decide the election. Here’s a breakdown of my predictions for how these contested states will vote.






Biden states

  • Arizona
  • Maine statewide
  • Michigan
  • Minnesota
  • Nebraska: 2nd district
  • New Hampshire
  • Nevada
  • Pennsylvania
  • Wisconsin

Trump states

  • Florida
  • Georgia
  • Iowa
  • Maine: 2nd District
  • North Carolina
  • Ohio
  • Texas
This would deliver Biden 290 electoral votes to Trump’s 248.

The bottom line

As I wrote two weeks ago, this election is not in the bag yet for Biden. Even as the days count down, Trump can forge an improbable comeback. We should expect the race to tighten further, especially in some of the swing states.

That’s why I predict some states that currently poll Biden as ahead — Georgia, Maine (2nd district), Florida and North Carolina — as going to Trump. The president will pick up unexpected votes in these states, as he did four years ago.

But the wall that Biden has built will be strong enough to withstand the late push from Trump, and Biden will win on November 3 — or whenever we get the results of the election.

​

Read More 990WBOB

  • Deciding to Be Undecided
  • Should We Trust The Polls?
  • Taste Test: Wendy's Pretzel Bacon Pub Cheeseburger
  • Giberti: Stop Lying to Us
Comments

    WBOB
    Original
    ​Reads

    Picture

    Unbiased, Unfiltered. WBOB's Original Reads feature our brightest and boldest personalities, offering their two-cents on the goings on of news, sports, politics, entertainment, and business. -- Are our opinions always PC? Nope. Are they always perfect? Nah. But, are they always 100% authentic? Absolutely!


    LISTEN
    ​TO WBOB ORIGINAL PODCASTS

    Picture
    Listen to
    ​Past BOBCasts

    WBOB 
    Best Reads
    Brought To You By
    TripAdvisor.com

    Picture

    Celebrating David Clyde: A Wild Passionate Friend To All


    Picture

    Search 
    The Archives


    Reads From Our Friends

    Picture

    The Best Game Development Tools: How to Make Your Own Game


    Contact Us
    [email protected]


    Archives

    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017
    September 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    July 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015
    April 2015
    March 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014
    October 2014
    September 2014
    August 2014
    July 2014
    June 2014
    May 2014
    April 2014
    March 2014
    February 2014
    January 2014
    December 2013
    November 2013
    October 2013
    September 2013
    August 2013
    July 2013
    June 2013
    May 2013
    April 2013
    March 2013
    February 2013
    January 2013
    December 2012
    November 2012
    October 2012
    September 2012
    August 2012
    July 2012
    June 2012
    May 2012
    April 2012
    March 2012
    February 2012

Search For Your Favorite WBOB Author,
​or BobCast

990WBOB 
An Independent Media Outlet.

The views opinions and thoughts expressed do not  reflect those of 990WBOB, its management or its staff. All Rights Reserved 990WBOB.com 2007-2020
​
Contact WBOB HERE
Photo from nzhamstar
  • WBOB Radio
  • Crush Cancer
  • Past Casts
  • Weather
  • Contact
  • About
    • WBOB Press Releases
    • Join Our Team!
    • CHARITY GALA